IES_11International Expansion System™ 6–8 weeks setup; quarterly board review

    Country Risk, Geopolitics & Crisis Exit

    Live country-risk dashboard, geopolitical scenarios (US-CN, Russia, ME) and a written exit/evacuation playbook per geo.

    Why it matters

    Companies that exited Russia in 2022 without a playbook took 60–90% asset write-downs. US-China decoupling, Middle East flare-ups and sanction regimes can flip a profitable market into a liability in 30 days. This module installs the early-warning system + the exit door.

    Scope covered

    Country risk dashboard — sovereign rating, FX, political, war, sanctions risk
    Geopolitical scenario planning — US-China decoupling, Russia exit, Middle East
    Business continuity & exit playbook per country (asset write-down, severance, IP)
    Repatriation of expats & emergency evacuation protocol
    Reputational risk & local PR crisis management
    Insurance — political risk, war, expropriation cover
    How we run it

    Our methodology

    A senior-led delivery sequence — not a template dump. Each phase is operated with your team and external counsel, not handed over as a deck.

    1. 1

      Country risk taxonomy

      Week 1

      Define the risk dimensions per country (political, regulatory, FX, sanctions, security, ESG); pull data sources and set scoring weights with the board.

    2. 2

      Live risk dashboard

      Week 1–2

      Build the live country-risk dashboard with thresholds and alerting; baseline current exposure across people, capital and operations per country.

    3. 3

      Geopolitical scenarios

      Week 2–3

      Stress-test the business against named scenarios — US-CN decoupling, Russia escalation, Middle-East crisis, India-China standoff — quantify revenue / cash / talent impact.

    4. 4

      Per-geo exit playbook

      Week 3–5

      Author a written exit / wind-down playbook per high-risk geography — capital repatriation, employee evacuation, data export, regulator notice, customer comms.

    5. 5

      Tabletop & escalation

      Week 5–6

      Run a live tabletop drill of one scenario with leadership; escalation matrix with named owners, advisors and decision rights ratified by the board.

    6. 6

      Quarterly review cadence

      Week 6–8

      Quarterly country-risk review wired into the board pack; trigger thresholds connected to the live dashboard for automatic escalation.

    Deliverables

    • Live country-risk dashboard (board-reviewed quarterly)
    • Scenario plans for top 3 geopolitical risks
    • Country-specific exit playbooks
    • Expat evacuation protocol
    • Political risk insurance program (where applicable)

    KPIs & Targets

    • Country risk score refreshQuarterly
    • Time to execute exit playbook≤90 days
    • Asset preservation in exit>70%
    • Crisis comms response time<4h

    Stakeholders

    CEOBoardGeneral CounselHead of InternationalPR / CommsSecurity advisor

    Timeline

    6–8 weeks setup; quarterly board review